Accepted or Published:
MacDougall, A.H., H. Beltrami: Impact of deforestation on subsurface temperature profiles: implications for the borehole paleoclimate record. Environmental Research Letters, (In press, May 2017).
MacDougall, A.H., N.C. Swart, R. Knutti, 2017: The uncertainty in the transient climate response to cumulative CO2 emissions arising from the uncertainty in physical climate parameters. Journal of Climate, 30, 813–827, doi: 10.1175/JCLI-D-16-0205.1.
MacDougall, A.H., 2016: Permafrost Carbon: Catalyst for deglaciation. Nature Geoscience (New & Views), 9, 648–649, doi:10.1038/ngeo2802
MacDougall, A.H., R. Knutti, 2016: Enhancement of non-CO2 radiative forcing via intensified carbon cycle feedbacks. Geophysical Res. Lett, 43, doi:10.1002/2016GL068964.
Zickfeld, K., A.H. MacDougall, H.D. Matthews, 2016: Is there a proportional relationship between global cooling and cumulative negative CO2 emissions? Environ. Res. Lett. 11055006
MacDougall, A.H., R. Knutti, 2016: Projecting the release of carbon from permafrost soils using a perturbed physics ensemble. Biogeosciences, 13, 2123–2136.
MacDougall, A.H., 2016: The Transient Response to Cumulative CO2 emissions: A Review. Current Climate Change Reports, 2, 39–47, doi:10.1007/s40641-015-0030-6
MacDougall, A.H., K. Zickfeld, R. Knutti, H.D. Matthews, 2015: Sensitivity of carbon budgets to permafrost carbon feedbacks, non-CO2 forcings, and negative emissions. Environ. Res. Lett. 10 125003
MacDougall, A. H., and P. Friedlingstein, 2015: The origin and limits of the near proportionality between climate warming and cumulative CO2 emissions. J. Climate, 28, 4217–4230.
Wheler, B.A., A. H. MacDougall, G.E. Flowers, E.I. Petersen, P.H. Whitfield , and K.E. Kohfeld, 2014: Effects of temperature forcing provenance and extrapolation on the performance of an empirical glacier-melt model. Arct. Alp. Res., 46 (2), 379-393.
MacDougall, A. H., 2013: Reversing climate warming by artificial atmospheric carbon-dioxide removal: can a Holocene-like climate be restored? Geophy. Res. Lett. 40, 5480-5485.
MacDougall, A. H., M. Eby, and A. J. Weaver, 2013: If anthropogenic CO2 emissions cease, will atmospheric CO2 concentration continue to increase? J. Climate, 26, 9563-9576.
MacDougall, A. H., C. A. Avis, and A. J. Weaver, 2012: Significant contribution to climate warming from the permafrost carbon feedback. Nature Geoscience, 5, 719-721.
MacDougall, A. H., B. A. Wheler, and G. E. Flowers, 2011: A preliminary assessment of glacier melt model parameter sensitivity and transferability in a dry subarctic environment. The Cryosphere, 5, 1011-1028.
MacDougall, A. H. and G. E. Flowers, 2010: Spatial and temporal transferability of a distributed energy-balance glacier melt model. J. Climate, 24, 1480-1498.
MacDougall, A. H., H. Beltrami, J. F. Gonzalez Rouco, M. B. Stevens, and E. Bourlon, 2010: Comparison of observed and general circulation model derived continental subsurface heat flux in the northern hemisphere. J. Geophys. Res., 115, D12 109.
MacDougall, A. H., J. F. Gonzalez Rouco, M. B. Stevens, and H. Beltrami, 2008: Quantification of subsurface heat storage in a GCM simulation. Geophys. Res. Lett., 35, L13 702.
Other Peer Reviewed Publications:
Xia, J., A. D. McGuire, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, C. DeLire, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, T. Bohn, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D. Hayes, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D. Lettenmaier , P. Miller, J. Moore, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, Z. Shi, L. Yan , J. Liang, L. Jiang, Y. Luo, K. Huang, Q. Zhang, 2017: Terrestrial ecosystem model performance in simulating productivity and its vulnerability to climate change in the northern permafrost region, Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 122(2), 430–446.
McGuire, A.D., C. Koven, D. M. Lawrence, J. S Clein, J. Xia, C. Beer, E. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, C. Delire, E. Jafarov, A. H. MacDougall, S. Marchenko, D. Nicolsky, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T. J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, A. Ekici, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D. J. Hayes, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D. P. Lettenmaier, Y. Luo, P. A. Miller, J. C. Moore, V. Romanovsky, C. Schädel, K. Schaefer, E.A.G. Schuur, B. Smith, T. Sueyoshi, Q. Zhuang, 2016: Variability in the sensitivity among model simulations of permafrost and carbon dynamics in the permafrost region between 1960 and 2009, Global Biogeochemical Cycles, 30(7), 1015-1037
Wang, W, A Rinke, JC Moore, X Cui, D Ji, Q Li, N Zhang, C Wang, S Zhang, DM Lawrence, AD McGuire, W Zhang, C Delire, C Koven, K Saito, A MacDougall, E Burke, B Decharme, 2016: Diagnostic and model dependent uncertainty of simulated Tibetan permafrost area, The Cryosphere 10 (1), 287-306.
Peng, S, P Ciais, G Krinner, T Wang, I Gouttevin, AD McGuire, D Lawrence, E Burke, X Chen, B Decharme,C Koven, A MacDougall, A Rinke, K Saito, Wenxin Zhang, R Alkama, TJ Bohn, C Delire, T Hajima, DJi, DP Lettenmaier, PA Miller, JC Moore, Benjamin Smith, T Sueyoshi, 2016: Simulated high-latitude soil thermal dynamics during the past four decades, The Cryosphere, 10 (1), 179–192.
Rawlins, M.A., A. D. McGuire, J. S. Kimball, P. Dass, D. Lawrence, E. Burke, X. Chen, C. Delire, C. Koven, A. MacDougall, S. Peng, A. Rinke, K. Saito, W. Zhang, R. Alkama, T. J. Bohn, P. Ciais, B. Decharme, I. Gouttevin, T. Hajima, D. Ji, G. Krinner, D. P. Lettenmaier, P. Miller, J. C. Moore, B. Smith, and T. Sueyoshi, 2015: Assessment of model estimates of land-atmosphere CO2 exchange across Northern Eurasia, Biogeosciences, 12, 4385–4405.
Koven, C.D., E. A. G. Schuur, C. Schädel, T. J. Bohn, E. J. Burke, G. Chen, X. Chen, P. Ciais, G. Grosse, J.W. Harden, D. Hayes, G. Hugelius, E. E. Jafarov, G. Krinner, P. Kuhry, D. M. Lawrence, A. H. MacDougall, S. S. Marchenko, A. D. McGuire, S. M. Natali, D. J. Nicolsky, D. Olefeldt, S. Peng, V. E.Romanovsky, K. M. Schaefer, J. Strauss, C. C. Treat, M. Turetsky, 2015: A simplified, data-constrained approach to estimate the permafrost carbon-climate feedback, Phil. Trans. R. Soc, A 373.